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Daily steel market: demand after the Lantern Festival will recover, and the price of steel next week is expected to stop falling

2024-02-24 18:02:00

1. Summary of the spot and futures price of steel

On February 23, the domestic steel market fell, and Tangshan moved to Anpu Fang Fang Fang.The price of the blank outlet includes the taxation of 3550 yuan/ton.In terms of transactions, most downstream did not resume work. In addition, the recent influence of rain and snow weather, the overall market transaction is deserted.

On February 23, the main force of the throw fell, the closing price was 3790, down 0.08%, DIF, DEA two-way, RSI three-line indicatorIt is located at 38-42, running between the mid-rail and lower rail in the Bollinger belt.

On February 23, the four steel mills were reduced by 20-30 yuan/ton, and 1 steel plant was raised by 30 yuan/Ton.

2. Daily price quotation of varieties

Steel: On February 23, the average price of 20mm three -level shocking threads in 31 major cities across the country was 4018 yuan/ton, a decrease of 4 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.In the short term, the downstream site of the Lantern Festival has reached a resumption node one after another, and the demand may increase. Therefore, it is expected that the domestic construction steel market price will stop and stabilize.

Hot-rolled plate roll: February 23, 24 major cities across the country 4.75mm in the country 4.75mmThe average price of hot -rolled plate rolls is 4056 yuan/ton, which is stable than the previous trading day.The influence of cost support has weakened, the terminal demand has not yet been launched, and the supply of steel supply is also limited. When the supply and demand are weak, the heat roll futures price will temporarily maintain the fluctuation of the fluctuations, and the popularity of the traffic will continue to cool down.After the terminal re -production and re -production time concentrated after the Lantern Festival, most engineering projects have not started construction, and the actual demand has not yet started.When the demand side performance is weak, the supply increase is also relatively limited. The total inventory is at a low level. At present, the contradiction between the supply and demand of steel is not prominent.Therefore, The price of hot rolling plates will fluctuate up next week.

Cold-rolled plate roll: February 23, 1.0mm in 24 major cities across the country across the country 1.0mmThe average price of cold rolls was 4733 yuan/ton, a down 2 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.According to the feedback of some traders in East China, the current market demand has not been significantly rebounded. In addition, due to the cold wave weather, the traffic in some cities is limited.In terms of price, the current inventory pressure of traders is relatively high, but the market demand is weak, and the price of cold -rolled spot prices is difficult to take the initiative to rise.In summary, It is expected that the spot price of cold rolling plates will be weak and stable next week.

Middle thick board: February 23, 20mm general plates in 24 major cities across the country nationwideThe average price was 4146 yuan/ton, a down 3 yuan/ton from the previous trading day.Traders feedback, the overall market performance of the market after the holiday, the performance of the transactions throughout the week, the trend of the market is weak, the downstream orders have not been restored, and the weekly table needs to perform weakly.In terms of resources, resources have been entered after the Spring Festival. Steel manufacturers are continuously shipped, and the inventory of the board is at the same time at the same time.In summary, market demand needs to be recovered, there is abundant resource inventory, and the cost support will still exist. It is expected that the price of thick boards in the country will have a strong fluctuation in the country next week.

Three, the daily price quotation of the original fuel

Iron ore: On February 23, the mainstream varieties of iron ore imported from Shandong Port rose by 2-5 slightly from the previous working day.In terms of selling, traders quotation enthusiasm is average. So far, there are fewer spot transactions; Shandong Yuanyue Market has weak transactions and has no transactions.There are fewer inquiries.At present, the mainstream of PB powder is 935-940; the mainstream of the card powder is 1035-1040; the mainstream of the super-special powder is 820-825; the mainstream of PB blocks is 1080.(Unit: yuan/wet ton)

Waste steel: On February 23, the steel mills have few scraps from steel mills this week, mainly consumedThe inventory is mainly, and the short -process steel plant is expected to resume work next week. At that time, the demand for scrap steel may increase. In addition, the rain and snow weather will be blocked in the short term.In the case of poor profitability of steel mills, the production enthusiasm of steel mills is difficult to improve. It is expected that the short -term waste steel market may adjust narrow -ammarking.

Coke: On February 23, the market price of the coke is temporarily operated.Near full, less buying, and low purchase enthusiasm.The price of raw material coal continues to operate, the mining side is restored to production, the supply has increased, and the news reduction of production has not been determined. The impact on the price has not yet appeared, and the overall supply is relatively loose. Coke enterprises are currently low in profits, and there are already companies that have reported production reduction, and most of the coke enterprises are in the wait -and -see stage.

Four, the steel market price forecast

In the short term, strong expectations and weak realityContinuous games lead to frequent steel price fluctuations.In previous years, after the 15th of the first month, the re -construction of the downstream construction site will gradually accelerate. In the past two weeks, steel inventory will continue to accumulate.Reduce.With the recovery of downstream terminal demand, steel mills will also have the driving force for re -production to support the prices of raw fuel.

In short, the current market emotional watching is the main, and steel prices are volatile and repeated shocks. In the later period, with the continuous release of the macro -control policy effect, the demand has been accelerated, the inventory pressure is reduced, and the market confidence can be boosted. The steel market may still usher in the "Golden Three" market.

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