Today the market ushered in the market style mutation again. The trend in the morning was quite strong. The three major indexes in the afternoon dived, which not only caused individual stocks to rise and fall, and entered a process of falling more. Tuesday also belongs to the recent period of a hundred -stock daily limit. After the first closing, there is only 107 stock daily limit, which shows that todays short diving, cautious emotions have heated up.·
From the perspective of the large and small plates, today the large -scale stocks fell by 1.1%, and the small -class stocks fell 1.3%.A shares have gone out of a similar friendship last Friday, and there are signs of accelerating the selling funds.
Today, on November 12, suddenly diving, there may be two reasons!
So what is the reason why todays market diving?Xiao Jin thought that there may be two reasons.
The first reason is that After the domestic capital flows more than 60 billion yuan in the morning, more than 80 billion yuan will be flowed out in the afternoon.Last Friday, the first 100 billion yuan of funds from this week.
Looking back at the trend from October to November, there are more than 100 billion yuan in domestic capital outflows, including two times in November.Low away and suddenly diving at noon.
Obviously, some large funds are not ruled out, and the current trend of A shares is in a cautious atmosphere, which has led to the market market in November.Essence
However, the idea of Xiao Jin is that is still mainly due to the impact of the peripheral market on the emotional side, causing the sales of domestic capital to increase.
The Hang Seng Index fell more than 3%today, the Hang Seng Technology Index fell more than 4%.Essence
The second reason, There may be emergencies in the disk.In the morning, it is still strong, and the lunch is turning green at noon.In the Nikkei 225 Index, the Korean integrated index fell more than 1%.
The RMB exchange rate also has a change of movement, indicating that the funds on the north are not ruled out today.
However, After diving in the GEM plate, the closing of the market will rise again, which means that the markets transaction has not cooled down due to a brief diving.Under the strong toughness of A shares, the general impact of the peripheral decline is relatively stable, and the trend is still relatively stable.
Xiao Jin made two evolution forecasts for the market trend for todays fall:
1, After the market drops to 3350 points, stabilizes upward again. After all, todays adjustment, more low -level sectors are replenishing, and the decline of the weight sector is the normal phenomenon. The decline in the low -level replenishment sector is not obvious, and the market has not yet reached the signs of further expanding the weak pattern.
2, The market ends up, and the GEM enters the complement of the decline. Then, the market will fall to 3152 points again, and the GEM will fall to the low point in October.
If the market has evolved in this trend, the volume will continue to shrink in the near future, and the market will be at a high of 3500 points in November.It is difficult to form a breakthrough pattern.
However, Xiao Jins idea is that the market is expectedThe diving process, during the closing period, the market has obviously entered rational fluctuations, and the probability of being impacted tomorrow is less.
Todays fall market, it has not changed the rise of this round. Then, if the market trend belongs to the riseThe market market will still fall tomorrow.
The sudden rise of the GEMs tail plate enters, and directly recovers all the decline within the day, which undoubtedly indicates that the A -share is still a strong pattern.
It does not rule out that the market may still fall to the 3350 -point area after the recent rise, and the entrepreneurial board enters the shock pattern.The trend of rise has not changed. Try to "light index heavy stocks" as much as possible to maintain optimistic expectations to look at the market outlook.
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