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Whether the Russian -Ukraine conflict enters the turning point still needs to see the follow -up, the Russian offensive ability is the key

2024-02-24 14:32:16

On February 17, local time, comprehensive Russia and Reuters reported that the commander -in -chief of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Cruski announced thatWithdraw troops.Afjevka is located less than 10 kilometers north of Tonzk City, the capital of the Donetsk area. It is one of the main positions for the Ukraine to launch a shelling to Donetsk.

Afjevca and Marinka have always played the role of restraint on Donetzk. These two places are forUkraine is quite important.Basically, Afjevca and Marlinka are one of the outer availability of Wudong Third Fortress (Slavzanosk, Clarmatusk, and Donaldininova), plus AhTamusk and Ishum are the core of the Wudong Ukrainian army.

For the Ukrainian army, this failure is naturally serious and unfavorable.Next, the Russian army can continue to launch an offensive and launch an offensive to the Red Army Village and other places that have been lost to the Red Army Village, which gradually threatened the Wudong Third Fortress wings.Once the Uedo Third Fortress is lost, it basically means that the military system of Ukraine in the Wudong region has collapsed completely.

Of course, the Russian army should not be so fast.But indeed, the performance of the Ukraine began to have a trend of unstable.The artillery of Ukraine, as always, is at a disadvantage, but the Russian artillery and fire advantage in this position has expanded to 10 times. This state is indeed much more serious than in the summer of 2023.

Not only the firepower, but the troops of Ukraine also seem to have a problem.Mallingka was conquered by the Russian army in December 2023, and this time the Afjevka Russian army used 130 days to overcome the solid town of the Ukraine.This offensive speed is not fast, but compared to the Battle of Atamusk in early 2023, the defense time of Ukraine has been shortened.The situation from the last building did not appear.This shows that there is a problem with the life of Ukraine.

The low willingness to invest in this kind of force is likely to indicate that Ukraines mobilization ability is falling.Cannonball can also be resolved through assistance, and experienced soldiers are fighting less and less.Ukraines serious but covered casualties, as well as the inefficient mobilization system of corruption, are seriously restricting the allocation of Ukraine human resources.In the "Spring Counterattack" launched by Ukraine in June 2023, nine NATO brigades were suffered a lot of losses in the offensive. After the results of the limited progress of counterattack progress, it can be seen that the Ukraine has faced insufficient vitality for vitality.Dilemma.This may be the key to the Ukraines choice of reserved living forces and even using 105 land defense pads that lack training.

If Ukraine has a serious decline, then the Russian army can continue to launch an attack in different directions with the advantages and firepower advantages of the mobile troops, and the Ukraine will face the motorized troops.Insufficient, limited maneuvering forces are exhausted on the long front, and may eventually be accelerated until the dilemma of crash.This problem is not to help NATO aid more cannonballs and F-16.The Russian army is likely to fully grasp the strategic initiative and obtain more offensive to pull the freedom of the Ukraines defense line.

Now the Russian Group of Zapollo is also active, and the Russian army of Lugusk has gradually moved forward.Launch new offensives gradually advance the front.

Of course, the Russian army invested 40,000 troops this time, and the specific casualties are unclear.At present, the attack speed of the Russian army has increased, but it mainly depends on the weakening of the Ukraines will.The technical level of the Russian army has not risen significantly. At the same time, the attack speed of such fortress towns cannot be faster. In the previous offensive operations, it also occurred many times in the case of heavy damage by the Ukraine.Therefore, the advantages of the Russian army now have the ability to quickly conquer Wudong Three Fortress.It was just that the Ukrainian army could not change the initiative to recapture the initiative.

At present, Russias domestic state is acceptable. Only with local mobilizationIt is still stronger than Ukraine supported by NATO.Therefore, the current situation of Ukraine is quite dangerous. Although NATO has continued to assist, overall that NATO has not entered the war mobilization, it is difficult for Ukraine to achieve significant strategic ability.

From the perspective of the Ukrainian government, because the Ukrainian government completely depends on NATOs fiscal assistance, the Ukrainian government will now make many political decisions (similar to the continuous continuous connection of the Dieberg River, whichCrossing the river), and it is basically impossible to improve its financial utilization efficiency.This is the inevitable and unavoidable problem of this war in Ukraine, because fundamentally, the outbreak of the Ukrainian war is completely inconsistent with the interests of Ukraine as an independent country.It may be improved or resolved before stopping the war.

With the movement of the war, Ukraines own problem may be exposed in a long period of war, leading to deterioration of the situation.

There is still one point in the perspective of politics, that is, if the Wudong Third Fortress is overcome and Ukraines defense system collapses in the Wudong region, then Wudongs pro -Russian forces may be re -active and re -activeNo longer obey Kievs order.So if Russia has completely seized Donetsk, then Russias control over the east of the Timber River is completely possible.Ukraine may be restarted, which may be more in line with Ukraines current political positioning.

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