From the date of 2.6, the A -share single side has risen, the daily K -line records 8 consecutive yang, the Zhou K line has two consecutive yang.
From the beginning of the year to the present, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index has not only fully recovered the lost land, but also increased by 1.01%.
But embarrassing is that in the same interval, only 647 shares in the two cities have positive income, and the number of two cities fell 18.38%.
In essence , this round of market is clearing a certain ball, clearing leverage funds, and downward trend.Below, the staged market trend is "extreme irrational", triggering GJDs strong intervention, and then the market directly "turn around" and V -type reversal.
At this time, the deep set of small and medium retail investors generally hold doubt and hesitant attitude, and long -term funds have increased their efforts to enter the market.
In other words, there are not many rising winners in this wave, which has nothing to do with small and medium -sized retail investors.(The following small -scale survey is more intuitive)
To better explain the aforementioned conclusion from the most representative Shanghai -Shenzhen 300ETF transaction volume.
The opening of the year has continued to decline, and the GJD buying intensity increased from 18th to 1.26th, and the market stopped in a short period of time.However, at this time the market talked about the risk of a certain ball every day, and then the market predicted self -realization. GJD also pushed the boat smoothly and did not break. So we smashed the 2635 -point outsole. Then we saw that GJD was angry and bought.
At the moment, the market trend in the market is highly reversed.First, is it still shocking back ?
The view of the traceability is that the A shares in the market are highly advanced and retreated, the shock is up, and it is mostly completed in the disk. It is difficult to find the comfortable on the air.
The reason is that: (1) GJD will not easily "pick up" the broader market. This time will not be released suddenly, and it will continue to escort, but the strength will gradually weaken.At the same time, the law of the market itself has begun to enhance;
(2) The three trading days of this week, Wednesday, fell, and the amplitude can be controlled.There are a wave of diving, but they are pulled back in the afternoon, and there is no danger.Be a "head bird".
(Weekend, three favorable blessings)
1, yesterday, """Village" held the first conference of the Year of the Dragon, summarizing the following issues of concern to the following market concerns.
To prevent cracking down on financial fraud and fraud issuance, it is a continuous process.Listed companies use the deterrence of supervision to make enterprises dare not "break through the level", greatly increasing the proportion of on -site inspections of listed companies, and so on.
This means that after the substitution, the legalization of the market and the optimization of the system, the investment and financing environment is more fair and efficient, it is conducive to the improvement of market confidence, and long -term benefits are self -evident.
2. Important meetings indicate to promote a new round of large -scale equipment updates and consumer goods to change new, effectively reduce the logistics costs of the whole society, enhance the core competitiveness of the industry, and improve economic operation efficiency.
Equipment update corresponds to the new round of manufacturing upgrade.Probability event.
Turnive reduction and efficiency is the most urgent problem of the current macro surface. After all, we are too rolled.
3. Next week, A shares will enter the two important meeting time windows. At this time, the capital market will generally produce any moths.Customer.
Finally, simply say two technical aspects.
The Shanghai Stock Exchange Index Weekly Line has two consecutive yang. The anti -package fell in the previous 6 weeks.The daily K -line is 8 consecutive yang, the moving average is multi -hair, the MACD golden fork diverges, the volume can cooperate, and the trend is up, but the short -term is also obviously over buying.
The conclusion is that the overall paradigm is shock, and the center of gravity moves up. It may not be adjusted until after the meeting.
After the Cross Star of Changyang, GEM, the high -level shocks are obvious, and the response is shocking between 1700 ~ 1800 on the K Line of Japan.The probability of continuing horizontal consolidation is greater.
Comprehensive analysis : The mid -term reversal is probably probably, but the short -term is super -buying, the technical level has adjustments, and the message surface is warm, and the special time point is againThere is a demand for stability, so the subjective judgment of the traceability is the gentle upward movement of the second and retreating one next week.
(The organizational and thinking of the traceability investment idea does not constitute investment suggestions, for reference only)
