Recently, A -share game is really wonderful. I shared the resume of yesterday in my community.
The original text is as follows:
Six stages of A -share bull market:
The first stage: Do not believe it will rise;
The second stage: I believe it will make up for the decline;p>
Fourth stage: Rise to willing to believe;
Fifth stage: Do not rise or not believe;
Phase 6: Dont believe it will not rise.8 Lianyang, everyone can guess, what is the mood of the empty people now?
A few days ago, I have been telling you that the game has not ended.
It was finally confirmed yesterday.
This play is getting more and more exciting!IntersectionIntersection
I also saw that the guards team did a window guidance yesterday during the day.
It is not allowed to short and sell naked after half an hour after the opening and closing.
But it was not confirmed, so I did not say yesterday afternoon.
As a result, the Securities Regulatory Commission announced very high -profile announcement last night: I prohibit, how can I drop it?
After being confirmed, many things can be understood.
Including why the recent microcroleum stocks are strong, CSI 500 and Shuangchuang Weak, I also want to understand.
First, dont underestimate the prohibited time for shorting, which almost gives the bulls with privileges and can make the market red every day.
Why?
If you are not allowed to short half an hour before the opening, there will be no large number of throwing pressure, so the guards can be very handy.
As long as the start in the morning is not large, no one will be scared to sell it passively. (will not be triggered)
Then after half an hour, the whole trend will be relatively stable, no matter how you fall, you cant fall.
It is not allowed to short half an hour before closing, so the guards can easily pull all red.
I give a very extreme example.
Assume that the opening price is 5 yuan. At this time, 100 people want to sell, and the price may be quickly pressed to 4 yuan.
But before the closing, there are only 5 people sold. Can the protection team buy 6 yuan without the power to blow ash?
So we saw that rose every day.
This difference is huge.
If the volume is rising, the protection team needs to spend more bullets because there are too many selling disks.
Thinking of this, we can understand that it is an ideal state that is not available now.
Just slowly rose, not giving the opportunity to get on the bus.
, etc., and so on, they cant wait to rush in.
It will be measured at that time.
After the number of days is released, the stages may end.
Second, prohibiting short and naked selling will change the volatility
Previous quantification transaSmall disk, short market.
Because the volatility of small disks is higher.
With this limit, the volatility gap between the market and the small plate converge.
At this time, the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 and the CSI 300 were protected by the guards, and the volatility was significantly enlarged.
The quantization of the survival of the avalanche this time must be replaced.
This goal is now CSI 500 .
So we see that the performance of the CSI 500 after the festival is not very good.
The average market value of CSI 500 is about 20 billion;
The GEM finger is 36.2 billion; science and technology innovation 50 is about 30 billion.Essence
The average market value of Shuangchuang is close to the CSI 500, so it is dragged.
Can this situation be changed?
I cant predict the inflection point, but now the guards are ghost, I can only see how it performs.
It only needs to change the rules slightly to reverse the situation.
The guards team wants to pull the market as a mean level. It is estimated that they will continue to play with these little ghosts.
Even if the escort team does not start, when this differentiation reaches the extreme, it will usher in a reversal outbreak.
Next, as long as the rules of the protection team continue, the market slowly continues to rise is very easy.
Even if it is a callback, the amplitude is estimated to not be too large.
Those who are empty want to get on the car.
So what I told you before, there are back steps in the disk, you can make up.
Cant wait until the market accelerates, and there is no chance to step back.
Everyone should pay attention, now the CSRC has announced the world.
The institutions will also understand the gods, so what will the institution do?Think about it carefully.
Wait until pushing out confidence and trend, superimposed the cooperation of fundamentals, liquidity, and policy.
2. The macro liquidity continues to improve
BP, the liquidity is further improved.I still still have yesterdays point of view. The 1 year deposit interest rate is likely to be dried below 2%!
In terms of US debt interest rates, it is maintained below the 30-day moving average.
Dont look at the news that the full screen is now talking slowly.
But the US debt dare not soar up, it seems that everyone will lead the heart to something.
Moreover, federal funds interest rates are not the focus of market attention. The real interest rate is not it.
In addition, although the US debt has not moved much, the US dollar index is depreciating.Is it very interesting?
Some things, dont listen to what the Feds mouth says.
The north-directional funds are also crazy back in the tail plate, which is very interesting.
Foreign capital also understands what the CSRC means.
Is there a feeling of me as my main?
In terms of 10 -year national bond interest rate, todays market low!
The bond market continues to respond to loose expectations.
I said yesterday that I now allocate bonds suitable for short medium bonds instead of long debt.Many friends dont understand what it means.
Lets take a look at the decline in the interest rate of interest rate bonds in each period today.
CISIT refers to the upper edge of the long-term moving average group today.
In terms of technical, this is a key resistance.
Once it is broken, some models will send out many signals.
So the key next week is very critical.
Since the full market refers to the situation in the market, some industries have stood up, and some are also chasing the Chinese.Essence
I dont know what the escort team will play next week!
Will it be deliberately stepped back?
I will not sell it at the bottom anyway.
Because the bottom of the bottom is too dangerous, one accidentally cant get on the car.
I will only buy it at the bottom until the stock market returns to the average.
Actually, many people just do not understand.
We dont have to guess the routine of the guarding team at all, and we cant guess.
We only need to know that The big dealer who is both a player and a referee. It wants the stock market to rise, and the stock market can still rise?
But in order to pay a smaller price, it will also deliberately torture you, testing whether you are firm enough.
Sometimes, is those who believe that the country will be better in the future, and the stock market will go cattle, and then laughs to the end.
A little crooked in the middle of the way.
By the way, I said yesterday!The Shanghai Stock Exchange Index will complete the KPI of 3000 points, and today close 3004.88 points.
This KPI is completed, everyone guess What is the next KPI?
Haha ...
This scene is really wonderful ...Friends who like my article are welcome to come to my same name public account: Rui Zhi Rui see!
