For the Macos government in the Philippines, Trumps rolls are not a good thing. On the one hand, Marcos has no experience in dealing with Trump; on the other hand, Trump is in theThe attitude of the South China Sea also felt great pressure.
After Trump was elected again, a interesting phenomenon in the Philippines politics appeared.Not only did President Marcos congratulate Trump for the first time, but the former Philippine President Duterte also sent congratulations at the same time.
[Deep personal relationship between Trump and Duterte]
DuOn his personal social platform, Tolt expressed his "most lofty respect" of Trump, and enthusiastically wished Trumps peaceful prosperity between the United States and Philippines during his administration.
In fact, Dutertes congratulatory letter to a certain extent, is a "knock" and warning of the Marcos administration.
At present, the current political situation of the Duterte family is not optimistic.Duterte himself was controversial because of his "anti -drug war" during his tenure. He has even been summoned by the Philippine Senate recently. It is said that the continued anti -drug operations during his tenure have killed thousands of people.
At the hearing, Dutertes attitude is tough, insisting that he will not apologize for his anti -drug policy, and reiterate that he ordered the police to "directly kill the resistance to kill directly.Drug vendors. This remark further consolidated his "strong man" image among the Philippines, but also exacerbated the legal pressure he faced.Some legal experts and international human rights organizations believe that these statements of Duterte may provide a basis for accusing their "anti -human crimes" in the future.
At the same time, Dutertes daughter and vice president Sarah Duterte also deeply trapped in a political crisis. Many members of President Marcos accused Sarah suspected corruption and belief, and he was brewing to launch an impeachment procedure. If the impeachment passes or the evidence is conclusive, Sarah not only faces the risk of losing his duties, but also may be sued.
[Dutertes daughter is facing an impeachment crisis]
For the Duterte familyIn terms of, Trumps onto undoubtedly made him see the hope of "turning":
On the one hand, Duterte and Trump have deep private relationships, TrumpPu once used "very good" to describe the relationship between the two. Both sides also have a certain populist color and have a hard style of doing things. At first, some people called Duterte as "Philippine Edition Trump"
DifferentAt the Obama and the Bayeon government, Trump praised Dutertes anti -drug policy; and rarely used the so -called human rights issues to pressure the Philippines.This made Duterte feel full of respect.
Therefore, during the period of Dutertes administration, although he repeatedly rejected the "interference" of the United States, he rarely made "verbal words" of Trump, then President. At the same time as the rapid development of China, it also pays great attention to the degree of the United States and Philippine relations. allows the Philippines to achieve an independent balance of diplomatic.
On the other hand, Trumps attitude on the South China Sea issue will make the Macos government feel tremendous.
Although Trump rarely mention the US -Philippine relations or the situation in the South China Sea during the campaign, it can be speculated that with the performance of its first term and the nature of the businessman, it canCompared to Bidens ruling period, after Trump came to power, the US -Philippine relations may cool down, and the United States attention to the South China Sea issue will be reduced.
[Sister Marcos calls on the Philippines to "self-reliance"]
For Trump, the trade war brings the return of the United States to return to the top priority.In addition, Trumps tendency to allow allies to ensure the security guarantee "pay" policy, which means that If the Philippines will continue to obtain US military protection, it is likely to face more "defense expenses to the United States"Requirements.
In this context, the Macos governments excessive dependence on the United States will inevitably fall into passive.The appeal stated that the Philippines was time to be "self -reliant."
It is foreseeable that If the support of the United States weakens, the Macos government will be overwhelmed.Survival has created a little breathing opportunity, allows them to have more space to deal with domestic political crises and legal challenges.
In short, Trumps rolls come back and provide more possibilities for the Philippine political altar.Perhaps the Philippine politics has undergone major changes in advance.
