The economic situation in the past two years is not optimistic. Many friends around me have been laid off. Some small bosses on the Internet are also increasingly difficult to do business. ThisWhat causes it?Lets talk about economic difficulties in this article.
There is an important data called the price index, which is the CPI we often hear.
When the CPI is greater than 3%, it means that the economy is overheating; when CP is 2%-3%, the economy is rising steadily; when CPI is less than 2%, this meansEconomic towards recession.
In 2023, the CPI rose only 0.2%, so everyone felt that economic difficulties were actually normal.
So what caused the CPI to be so low?There is a consumer chain in it, and ordinary people are unwilling to consume, which has led merchants to choose to reduce prices in order to promote the volume. However, the merchants are still unwilling to pay for the people after the price reduction.
At the same time, our youth unemployment rate is also very high. According to the data published by the BureauMethods have been adjusted to certain.
From the perspective of CPI and youth unemployment rate, you will find that the economy is really not good, but if you point out from a macro perspectiveYou will also find that the economy is still rising.
China GDP increased by 5.2%in 2023, and it is still far ahead of the worlds major economy.
At the same time, the total value of 23 years of exports also reached 4.176 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.2%year -on -year.
Why is the macroeconomic growth so strong and return to our personal life, but few people really feel income growth?
Some people will question, is this set of data that is moisture?The answer is actually not, I think this has a lot to do with the economic structural transformation we currently face.
For example, Xiaoming is engaged in traditional oil vehicle manufacturing, Xiao Zhang is engagedThe industry environment must be going down.
In 23 years, Xiaomings annual salary was reduced from 70,000 to 50,000, but Xiao Zhangs annual salary increased from 70,000 to 100,000.
Xiaomings days are indeed more difficult, but Xiao Zhangs days are getting better and better. At the same time, our GDP is still increasingFor workers who eliminate industry, what I feel is sad.
In recent years, policies have emphasized industrial transformation., Transformation of mid -to -high -end industries such as artificial intelligence.
and reality is that the salary of practitioners in advanced industries such as new energy is still rising. On the other hand, the income of workers engaged in traditional low -end manufacturing is also decreasing.
A small number of practitioners have high education or flexible minds to meet the needs of the times and industrial transformation.Essence
However, there are many low -education workers who cannot meet the academic needs of emerging industries. Their salary is not only reduced, but the working time may increase, which will exacerbate internal currency.
The wave of internal volume has also been shaved to the job market of the fresh graduate, so the reason for the low unemployment rate of youth is the same.
So how to solve this problem?The answer is related to whether the transformation of emerging industries and industries can be developed smoothly. If the two can further expand in the future, and even go abroad to seize the market of developed countries, then these industries will continue to expand the number of recruitment.Can eat a dividend of the times.
At the same time, the development of these emerging industries will also stimulate the development of the service industry, and the income is up, then residents may want to find a hobby, fitness, outdoor travel, skiing, etc.It can also bring more employment opportunities.
Chinas service industry GDP only accounts for about 53%, and countries such as Germany and Japan often account for more than 70%, so the future service industry will continue to maintain high -speed development.
In a word, explain that only continuous development can bring more employment opportunities, and residents can get higher salary.
