Beijing and Shanghai are the two largest cities in my country.
Two cities in one south and one north are my countrys political and cultural centers and economic centers.
The reason why Shanghai is the economic center is only because of the long -term GDP in more than 300 cities ranked first in the country.
In 2023, there are only two cities with a scale of 4 trillion in GDP in the country, which are Shanghai 4.7 trillion yuan and Beijing 4.3 trillion yuan.
The third ranking Shenzhen is only 3.4 trillion yuan, and it does not have the possibility of exceeding the first place in a short time.
The GDP gap between Beijing and Shanghai is about 4 billion yuan, which is higher than the total amount of GDP in most cities in the country, so Beijing has more than Shanghai.Is it possible?
Data from the economic operation of the two places show that in the first three quarters of 2024, Shanghai GDP.343 trillion yuan and Beijing 3.34 trillion yuan.By 10 billion yuan, Beijing has the possibility of more than Shanghai.
We use the proportion of GDPs of the two places to observe how the Beijing economic scale exceeds Shanghai and replaces Shanghai to become the largest economic center in the country.
The folding line in the chart shows the trend of economic development between the two places.
From 7.4%to 3.6%of the country, obviously, Shanghai is going downhill.
Beijing GDP accounts for the proportion of the country. Although it has declined slightly in recent years, the decline rate is much lower than Shanghai.
From the perspective of the trend alone, Beijing is likely to exceed Shanghai in 2024 or 2025, and the GDP will exceed Shanghai, becoming the largest economic center in the country.
Regardless of the situation before 1978, Shanghai has maintained this record for 45 years.
Why does Beijing surpass Shanghai?Economic structure is the focus.
In the Shanghai economy, about three -quarters of the service industry are the service industry, and the industry and construction industries account for a quarter.
About 15%of Beijings added value comes from the industry and construction industry, and the remaining 85%come from the service industry.
Beijing is the only large city in the north. The south also has the two large cities, the two economic scale of Guangzhou and Shenzhen.
So, Beijings service industry is serving the entire north (maybe the whole country, such as the headquarters of many service companies in Beijing), Shanghai is limited to only limited to Shanghai limited to ShanghaiSeveral provinces in the triangle.The author believes that this is one of the reasons.
Another reason is the degree of intervention in the economy. In recent years, it has risen. This is also a very important influencing factor.
In your opinion, what is Beijing that can exceed Shanghai and is close to or exceeded in deep reasons?
